Democrats sleepwalking toward electoral disaster in 2022

Democrats have lost sight of how to build an absent broad-based coalition Donald trumpDonald Trump Trump Tells Former Aide Navarro to ‘Protect Executive Privilege’ in House of Representatives’ COVID-19 Investigation Jan.6, Panel May See Influence from Bannon Impeachment Texas Democratic Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson announces his retirement at the end of term MORE or a Republican enemy similar to Trump. As a result, they could be on track to suffer one of the largest midterm losses of any game in recent history.

President BidenJoe BidenRisch, dismayed by Republican senators’ blocking of Biden’s diplomatic elections, on Sunday shows a trailer: Boosters open to all American adults; House Democrats pass spending plan to Senate White House calls for investigation into sexual assault allegations of missing Chinese tennis star MORE has lost more public support during his first months in office than any U.S. president since World War II, according to Gallup.

Last week, Biden’s approval rating fell to a new low of 41 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove, according to a ABC News / Washington Post Poll. Republicans now also have a 10-point advantage in the generic Congressional vote, the largest advantage ever recorded for the Republican Party in the 40-year history of this question, even before the waves of the Republican Party in 2014, 2010 and 1994. .

Coupled with the decisive turn toward Republicans in the Virginia, New Jersey, and New York state elections earlier this month, it is clear that Americans are turning against a Democratic Party that they feel has become more in tune with priorities. of progressives and less focused on addressing the concerns and frustrations of the larger American electorate.

The Editorial Board of the New York Times recently summarized the risks Democrats pose to themselves: “A national Democratic Party that speaks of progressive policies at the expense of bipartisan ideas, and that focuses on Donald Trump at the expense of progressive ideas, runs the risk of becoming a fringe Democratic Party that only attracts To the left. “

In fact, 62 percent of registered voters believe the Democratic Party is out of touch with the majority of Americans, according to the ABC News / Washington Post poll.

Since August, Democrats have been embroiled in a cross-party dispute over the size and scope of a massive legislative package comprised of their social spending priorities, the “Build Back Better” plan, which the public arguably knows best from its billionaire- price in dollars than for its content. Republicans have worked, with some degree of success, to describe the Democrats’ agenda as inflationary.

Ultimately, in their quest for the “transformational” change offered by the Build Back Better Plan, often without being able to articulate a clear vision of what that change actually entails, Biden and the Democrats have overlooked the overt political realities under their leadership. own risk.

Economic discontent is widespread, inflation is at a 30-year high, and prices for gasoline and consumer goods are skyrocketing – all of which voters attribute to the Biden administration’s policies, fair or not. Additionally, voters are concerned about the crisis on the southern border and are wary of enacting radical climate policies.

Seven out of 10 voters say the economy is in bad shape, only 39 percent approve of Biden’s handling of the economy, and nearly half blame him on inflation, according to the ABC News / Washington Post poll. 61% of voters believe that the increase in gasoline prices is due to the policies of the Biden administration, according to a recent report. Harvard / Harris survey, which also found that nearly nine out of 10 voters are concerned about inflation.

On immigration, only 35 percent of voters approve of the administration’s immigration policies; and a majority (54 percent) believe the Biden administration is creating an open border, rather than enforcing immigration laws in a more humane way (46 percent) according to the Harvard / Harris survey. On the climate, nearly six in 10 voters believe that maintaining energy independence is more important than reducing our carbon emissions if the two are in conflict.

An important note: Joe Biden won the 2020 election as a moderate who vowed to return unity, normalcy, and problem solving to Washington. He did not win with a mandate to enact a progressive and possibly divisive agenda. In fact, neither did the Democrats in Congress, who won the Senate by the narrowest margin possible and held control of the House by a handful of seats. Notably, negative-voting Democrats also underperformed across the board in 2020.

The failure of Democrats to recognize this was the driving force behind the beating in the 2021 election and it is poised to be its downfall in next year’s midterm elections. Unsurprisingly, Democrats defending vulnerable House districts in 2022 have grown increasingly frustrated with Biden.

“Nobody chose him to be FDR, they chose him to be normal and stop the chaos,” said Rep. Abigail spanbergerAbigail Davis SpanbergerBuild Back Better is a 21st century New Deal House Democrat group launches six-figure ad campaign to sell ‘Trump in heels’ infrastructure package Amanda Chase launches offer for Spanberger seat MORE (Va.), Which represents a district that Biden won by a single point in 2020, following the defeat of the Democrats in Virginia.

Biden has invoked the legacy of former President Franklin Delano Roosevelt and hinted that that’s the kind of legacy he aspires to. Some Democrats have even drawn parallels between their Build Back Better agenda and FDR’s “New Deal.”

That said, in the mid-to-late 1930s, when much of the New Deal was passed, Democrats controlled more than 300 House seats and as many as 76 seats in the Senate. Clearly, that’s not the case today: the Senate is split 50-50, with the Vice President Kamala harrisKamala Harris Equilibrium / Sustainability – Presented by Southern Company – Climate Crisis Drives Child Marriages: Report House Democrat group launches six-figure ad campaign to sell Defund Biden infrastructure package: The only way to put a America on a budget PLUS able to cast runoff votes, and Democrats control the House for just five seats.

Going forward, Democrats must recognize that the American electorate in general, and especially voters in swing states “are not liberal, they are not awake, and they do not see the world the way people who work and donate do. to Democratic campaigns, “as Ezra Klein indicated after his interview with political analyst David Shor.

The party needs to find a way to unite on a moderate agenda that is more than a reaction to Donald Trump and Trumpism, one that focuses on controlling inflation and rising prices, fiscally responsible welfare reform and expansion, fiscal policies. responsible, stronger borders and growing the economy for all.

If they can’t, Democrats will end up sleepwalking toward electoral disaster in 2022.

Douglas E. Schoen is a political consultant who served as an adviser to President Clinton and the 2020 presidential campaign of Michael BloombergMichael BloombergBudowsky: 10 Million Should March on DC, for Land and Democracy Bloomberg Pledges to Spend $ 0 Million to Fight Fatal Drug Overdoses A New Approach to Fighting America’s Opioid Epidemic MORE. He is the author of “The End of Democracy? Russia and China on the Rise and the United States on the Retreat. “Zoe Young is a senior strategist at Schoen Cooperman Research.

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