Kamala Harris: a 2024 problem for Biden and the Democrats

Democrats have a conundrum of 2024, with their apparent vice president Kamala harrisKamala HarrisHarris Calls For Global Action Against Cyber ​​Threats After US Joins International Effort Christie Criticizes Trump Over Electoral Defeat Harris, Macron Unveil New Initiatives On Space And Cybersecurity After Meeting MORE presenting a maze of questions and complications. Let’s start with the fundamental problem: your boss, President BidenJoe BidenBiden and Xi of China to hold virtual summit on Monday: Briahna Joy Gray reports: Biden ‘plays dumb’ with cancellation of student debt Defense and national security – Biden celebrates Veterans Day MORE.

A USA Today / Suffolk University poll conducted last week showed that Biden’s job approval rating fell to 38 percent, with 59 percent disapproving. Too, 64 percent of registered voters surveyed opposed Biden running for reelection, including 28 percent of Democrats.

Additionally, a mid-October NPR / Marist poll found that 44 percent of Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents thought “someone else” besides Biden would have the best chance of winning the presidency.

Perhaps now Biden is reconsidering his March 25 statement: “My plan is to run for reelection, that’s my expectation.” After all, Biden’s “expectation” could be dashed by the growing perception that he is a weak leader not up to the task of governing and shaken by the beating Democrats took in last week’s election. .

Democratic strategists dream of radical change after a possible series of legislative victories. But with inflation on the rise, his nightmare is the 2022 midterm elections warning of a red tidal wave, and Republicans are likely to gain control of the House and perhaps the Senate.

And the wave could crush Harris if he stars in a possible Republican attack announcement. In the final days of the tight race for the governorship of Virginia, while campaigning with the Democratic candidate Terry McAuliffeTerry McAuliffeNew Ad Campaign Targeting Five House Democrats Over Inflation Discussion on the ‘Wake Up’ Issue simmers for Democrats 43 percent of Republicans in new poll oppose teaching of ‘ history of racism ‘MORE, Harris displayed an astonishing lack of political knowledge when he said, “What happens in Virginia will determine, in large part, what happens in 2022, 2024 and beyond.”

Harris violated a cardinal political rule: never publicly state the future meaning of a race that your candidate could lose, and your candidate was beaten.

If the midterm elections turn out to be a Democratic repudiation, put a fork in the Joe Biden presidency and expect the following questions to take up a lot of cable bandwidth.

1) When will Biden announce that he is not running for reelection?

Certainly before President Lyndon Baines Johnson when Announced his decision not to seek a second term on March 31, 1968, just eight months after Election Day.

Herein lies the dilemma: The sooner Biden announces his lame jerk status, the more his power diminishes, reflecting the aura of a failed presidency. So naturally the focus is on the Democrats’ presidential horse race. But more important is the perspective of national security if enemies think that a “defeated” Biden indicates an opportune moment for aggression.

On the contrary, the longer Biden delays his announcement, the more disabled will be those seeking the nomination. It takes nearly two years for the organizational structure to raise the mega millions of dollars needed to run a successful presidential primary campaign.

For example, then Sen. Barack ObamaBarack Hussein Obama How America Can Prove It Is An Economic Player In Asia Once Again Economist Larry Summers Says The White House Misunderstood Inflation The Hill’s Morning Report – Presented By Facebook – Rising Prices Undermined Biden’s Agenda MORE Announced his 2008 presidential campaign on February 10, 2007, at the beginning of the election cycle.

So-Sen. Kamala Harris announced her 2020 presidential aspirations on January 21, 2019. But she quickly became enraged and withdrew on December 3, 2019.

2) Will Harris pressure Biden to announce his 2024 plans early? Then she could start acting like a pending president while potentially keeping her main opponents at bay.

3) If Biden announces that he will be president for a term, when will he endorse Harris as his successor? Or will Biden choose to imitate former President Obama in 2020? Remember, Obama refrained from endorsing his former vice president until April 14, after Biden got the nomination, probably to avoid embarrassment.

But will Harris even want Biden’s endorsement if his job approval rating is below 40 percent? In that case, will she seek to separate from him? Either of these scenarios will be an awkward and awkward dance between Joe and Kamala.

4) At the heart of the Harris 2024 conundrum are its consistently lousy job approval ratings – latest in 28 percent with 51 percent disapproval. And Harris’s average favorable rating on RealClearPolitics is 40 percent with an unfavorable 51 percent.

So what if in early 2023, your scores are still low and the general election match polls show you lose to most or all potential Republican opponents? How, then, do Democratic presidential candidates wage a primary campaign to defeat the incumbent vice president, who is both the first woman and the first racial minority to hold that office?

5) Will Democrats pick Harris as their nominee because it’s “their turn”? Traditionally, the “it’s your turn” strategy doesn’t end well for either party. (See Clinton, Hillary, 2016.) White House winners are often charismatic leaders with their finger on the pulse of the nation, and Harris falls short on both. President Biden was a notable exception. He was barely charismatic, but he was a perfect fit when Americans sought a “drama-free return to normalcy” after four years of President TrumpDonald Trump Jan. 6 panel demands that Meadows testify Friday or risks indictment for contempt Defense and Homeland Security: Biden celebrates Veterans Day Trump backs Texas representative who said he ‘very well could have’ committed impeachment crimes PLUS.

6) What if in 2024 Harris is the incumbent president, either through an egregious event or because Biden resigns for “health reasons” to give Harris an electoral advantage? Anything can happen between now and 2024.

7) Will Republicans support Harris’s candidacy by sending her money and forming pro-Harris groups as a ruse to help her win the 2024 nomination? “Yes” is my guess.

Finally, it seems that the American people are not that interested in Harris. She upsets many voters in the wrong way, dubbed an uninspiring left-wing and weak leader, though she is credited with a historic gender and race advancement.

Now imagine an election in 2024 between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. It would be MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) with an unpopular and sharp-tongued incumbent vice president versus a twice-accused former president with authoritarian tendencies who would avenge his defeat in 2020. Our nation deserves better.

Myra Adams writes on politics and religion for numerous publications. She is a contributor to RealClearPolitics and was part of the creative team for two Republican presidential campaigns in 2004 and 2008. Follow her on Twitter @MyraKAdams.


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