Climate change is not as urgent a threat as nuclear Iran: opinion

The hottest novel circulating in global government circles these days is 2034: a novel about the next world war (by Admiral James Stavridis and Elliot Ackerman), in which China and Iran defeat the United States in a nuclear shootout.

Tens of millions of people are cremated in San Diego and Shanghai, millions more die of radiation poisoning in squalid refugee camps, and cyclical outbreaks of typhus, measles and rubella sweep across the United States and China.

Smallpox sprouts from latrines and rows of plastic tents. The United States sinks into depression and becomes dependent on international aid, while India and Russia take their place as intermediaries for world power.

The book makes clear how the slide into tactical nuclear war is eminently possible through miscalculation, arrogance, and ideological stridency.

All of which leads me to shudder at the idea of ​​the Islamic Republic of Iran getting a nuclear bomb, something that is not far off unless Tehran’s nuclear march forward is completely reversed.

A FLAG OF IRAN is displayed nearby on a missile during a military exercise, with the participation of Iran’s air defense units in October. (West Asia News Agency / Reuters) (credit: West ASIA NEWS AGENCY / REUTERS)

After all, Iran is now enriching uranium to the 60% level and manufacturing metallic uranium for the purpose of a bomb without effective supervision by the International Atomic Energy Agency of its nuclear sites. It is making rapid progress with its weapons work and its ballistic missile bomb launch program.

Meanwhile, the president of the United States, Joe Biden, and the Europeans have only been able to muster the courage to “implore” Iran to re-enter negotiations on the evocation of the disastrous Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action of 2015, which apparently will succeed the final. of November. They are preparing to withdraw all Western sanctions against Iran in exchange for more bogus Iranian promises to refrain for a time from diving into a bomb.

This brings Israel and Iran closer than ever to direct military conflict, and perhaps nuclear conflict as well. The IDF continues to warn that an upcoming war with Iran and its allies, such as Hezbollah, will bring tens of thousands of missiles raining down on Israel’s heart.

And as the war inevitably spreads, the Gulf states are likely to suffer, as well as American assets in the region. Through miscalculation, arrogance, and ideological stridency, the conflict could escalate into a world war.

The war will certainly devastate the world’s oil supply and hit Western economies hard, even if Iranian terror cells do not simultaneously wreak havoc in Europe and the United States.

AND HOWEVER, by all accounts, when Prime Minister Naftali Bennett raised the Iranian danger this week in meetings with world leaders at the UN Climate Conference in Glasgow, no one was really listening. They nodded politely when Bennett raised the alarm about Iran without actually broaching the subject.

They were more interested in hearing from Bennett how Israel has handled the COVID-19 pandemic and how Israel copes with a very diverse coalition government than in hearing another warning about Iran.

World leaders were too busy talking and exalting with great hyperbole about addiction to fossil fuels, starting with the head of the UN, Antonio Guterres, who said that “we are digging our own graves” and “pushing humanity to the brink. of the abyss “, and that the” weather bomb “must be deactivated immediately.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson warned that “we are one minute from midnight from the end of the world clock” to prevent a “climate catastrophe.”

US President Joe Biden said that limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius is “the challenge of our collective life.”

Not a word about the international community’s “collective security” obligation to stop Iran. Not a word about being pushed by the Iranians to the brink of nuclear catastrophe and world war.

In short, world leaders are getting carried away more by the expanding ozone hole than by Iran’s deepening nuclear bunkers. They are willing to bravely declare “war” on polluters, but fear threatening Iran with war, which is the only way to reach an agreement with Iran. They are prepared to heroically escalate their anti-coal rhetoric, but not to boldly bring to the table the threat of a military escalation against Iran.

They can gather by the thousands in Glasgow for a weeks-long environmental talk covered with tens of thousands of dramatic and breathless media stories in every language on the planet. Apparently, in the view of the UN and world leaders, this is more urgent and of greater concern than the concrete, short-term threat of Israel’s nuclear annihilation and an Iranian hegemonic umbrella that spans the entire Middle East. Why organize a flamboyant world conclave to combat this latest threat?

There is another relevant parallel between the two questions. Unfortunately, the human mind tends to ignore problems when they are small and less threatening, and wakes up to threats when it is “almost too late”, which is what was said about climate change this week. But of course the same logic applies to the Iranian threat. The world should avoid a nuclear crisis of dramatic magnitude by dealing vigorously with Iran before it goes fully nuclear. Avoiding short-term confrontation with the radical Islamic Republic is foolish.

As an aside, also note the following cynical and hostile facts: World leaders are more concerned about the rights of terrorist-backed Palestinian NGOs than they are about the rights of Israelis to live without a perpetual Iranian nuclear threat over their heads. . They are more upset by the construction of Jewish houses in Jerusalem and Judea than by the construction of bases for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on Israel’s northern border (and in Iraq, Yemen, West Africa, etc.).

Do not misunderstand. I am in favor of taking climate problems seriously.

In fact, the world should end deforestation, reduce emissions, provide access to clean and affordable energy, and increase investment in green energy and climate solutions – without delay! Rich nations can even shell out more than $ 100 billion a year to poor nations to adapt and mitigate, as speakers at the UN conference demanded.

Israel can and should also contribute its high-tech brainpower to these goals, in partnership with scientists, innovators, NGOs and governments around the world.

But what poses a clearer and more current danger: greenhouse gas emissions or Iranian nuclear weapons? What needs to be addressed more immediately and urgently: curb addiction to fossil fuels or roll back Iran’s nuclear bomb?

The columns of the diplomatic, defense, political and Jewish world of the writer for the last 25 years are archived in

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